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A very short, readable and highly practical how-to guide to all you ever wanted to know about running your own scenario projects, but were afraid to ask.
Based on 20 years of experience working with people in corporations, NGOs, schools and universities.
Why I wrote this book
I have been doing scenarios for about 20 years and I have found that scenarios provide orientation in an increasingly uncertain world. They are one of the few tools I know of that successfully attempt the impossible, namely to bridge the gap between the choices we make today and the consequences we face tomorrow. They actually help you make better decisions today for an uncertain future tomorrow.
Scenarios are a tool for ordinary people to help you think the unthinkable, question the obvious and challenge the official future. They are a tool of freedom and empowerment in all walks of life, private, social, corporate and societal.
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Why scenarios are good for you
Any choice you make, any decision you take and any plan you set in motion will make sense or not, will turn out to have been wise or foolish and will be profitable or not, inevitably and exclusively, in the future.
This being so you can, firstly, cross your fingers and hope for the best.
Second, you can rely on your intuition. Rely, in other words, that your gut feeling won’t let you down. Many highly acclaimed leaders’ claim to fame is that they have a superior intuition and without being able to explain fully why and how they decide what they decide, in the end, their decisions turn out to be right.
A third possibility is to ...
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